Pandemic’s Impact on Real Estate July 2020

Pandemic’s Impact on Real Estate July 2020
 
Real estate markets nationwide surge in demand & greater Orlando achieves major milestone for the first time in 13 years.
Based on data reported by Orlando Regional Realtor ® Association, central Florida’s median home value of $265,000 finally surpasses July 2007 peak level of $264,436. Home values now at all-time record highs as average mortgage interest rates inversely plummet to record lows in the 3% range. Lower credit risk loans, such as 15 fixed-mortgages, being reported with interest rates as low as 2.75%.
 
Since the market bottom of January 2011, Central Florida home values are up 179%. 
Inventory of all homes available is down a whopping 18% year-over-year & distressed properties (REO/SS) becoming depleted to less than 3% of all sales. Scarce supply & multiple offer scenarios becoming the norm — the ultimate seller’s market conditions – strong demand, dwindling supply & lowest average mortgage rates on-record.
 
Demand skyrocketing for single-family homes with pools, amenities, yard/acreage, bonus rooms, spare bedrooms, garages, & outbuildings including in-law suites or other convertible home office space.
 
A report by Redfin tracked online home searches & reported a 100% increase in the searches for smaller cities & non-urban areas under 50,000 in population. The national telecommuting revolution is providing workers with more options – freedom, flexibility, & mobility; without any indication work-from-home will be declining in the future. The advent of new paradigm shift in how we conduct business.
 
FHFA & FHA have extended all eviction & foreclosure moratoriums on GSE backed loans (on SFH’s only) through August 31, 2020. All new & existing foreclosure actions suspended, however “legally vacant” properties are excluded. In Florida, all counties have suspended & postponed foreclosure sales.
 
As part of the CARES Act, borrowers with FHA mortgages have a year of delayed mortgage payment forbearance & no balloon payment at conclusion of forbearance period. Deferred payments can be placed into a junior lien payable upon sale, refi or if mortgage is extinguished.
 
The Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting approx. 8% of all loans are currently in forbearance, which computes to 1 out of 12 loans.
 
However, no agencies reporting any forgiveness on deferred loan or rental payments. Rental policies will be mostly determined by state authorities, at least in Florida. Governor DeSantis issued an executive order banning evictions through August 1, 2020. The governor has twice extended the original eviction moratorium from April 1st & a third extension may be announced any moment. Landlords may still issue eviction notices, but court hearings & orders are suspended. The systemic risk, or chain reaction, of landlords’ inability to repay financing is potentially a serious concern for credit markets, but no data currently available on the percentage of residential and/or commercial tenants in default on leases.
 
Commercial real estate is certainly in an extremely vulnerable position from the devastating situation with small businesses, limited capacity/occupancy, mandated closures (gyms/bars), virtual office trend, re-direct to online shopping & overall lack of necessity for office space. It wouldn’t be surprising to see mass re-zoning & re-purposing of redundant commercial space.
 
Residential real estate market & credit data not currently indicating any type of “crash” metrics. Although, overall market performance will ultimately be correlated with macroeconomics, further government stimulus programs, & how long consequences of the Covid-19 depress certain economic sectors – energy, financials, & consumer discretionary – travel, tourism, apparel, gyms, automotive, and restaurants. Any shock to the volume of loan default rates will be a key indicator.
 
Meanwhile, information technology sector is booming with the NASDAQ index approaching 11,000 points, all-time record highs, as well as upward spikes in consumer staple, telecommunication, home improvement, pharmaceutical sectors; also gold commodity. Technology winners have emerged — Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google, Microsoft & Zoom Video Communications.
 
U.S. Q1 GDP, as reported by BEA, down 5% & Q2 results will be released tomorrow, July 30th. Two consecutive quarters with declining GDP will satisfy the definition of a recession.
BLS reporting national unemployment rate of only 11.1% likely with PPP being used as a flotation device from the $3 Trillion CARES Act, combined with the government stimulus payments “lifeline” extended to most Americans in March/April.
 
The Fed will be forced to maintain low interests to prevent total economic meltdown & the prospect of inflation will be an inevitability down the road. The current fed funds target rate is 0-0.25%. Prior to 2020, the Fed had been raising the federal funds rate from 0.25% to 2.5% from 2016-2019.
 
November elections are looming & potential regime changes at the executive & legislative branches could have long-term consequences on policy changes, consumer sentiment, diplomacy & other market-affecting factors. The top questions on everybody’s minds are how long is the global pandemic going to linger & when will a vaccine be available?
 
Jason Crane
Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
Orlando, Florida
July 28, 2020
 
Sources below:
 
Economies & markets are complex structures of interrelated factors both tangible & intangible & data is a lagging indicator of performance & subject to unpredictable events & unforeseen volatility.

Data from Orlando Regional Realtor® Association’s April Market Report shows Orlando-area home values up 7.9% for March 2020

Orlando Regional Realtor Association® reports Central Florida median home value up 7.9% year-over-year in its April 2020 Market Report. Median value now at $253,500 with ADOM holding at only 54 days. Inventory is down a substantial 9.6% year-over-year with a current pace of only 2.3 months supply! Experts consider 6 months supply as a balanced market. Year-over-year sales increased by 27.1% from March 2019. Pending sales down by 14.9% year-over-year. Data is indicative a “Seller’s Market” with an extremely robust demand for housing with declining supply available for purchase. Only 80 distress sales closed across the Orlando Metropolitan Area during the entire month of March 2020. Distressed properties are only comprising less than 3% of all sales. Sales numbers are strong & home values continuing to increase on a monthly basis. The initial impact of the Covid-19 crisis on Central Florida real estate will be available within the next 30 days. The full report is available here: April 2020 Market Pulse Report for data from March 2020

Data from Orlando Regional Realtor® Association’s March Market Report indicates extremely strong real estate market ahead of Covid-19 outbreak

Orlando Regional Realtor Association® reports Central Florida median home value up 6.4% year-over-year in its March 2020 Market Report. Median value now at $250,000 with ADOM holding at only 58 days. Inventory is down a whopping 16.7% year-over-year with a current pace of only 2.7 months supply! Experts consider 6 months supply as a balanced market. Year-over-year sales increased by 4.4% & up 11% from last month (January 2020). Pending sales up by 10.9% year-over-year. Distressed properties are only comprising less than 4.4% of all sales. Data is indicative a “Seller’s Market” with an extremely robust demand for housing with dwindling supply available for purchase. Sales numbers are strong & home values continuing to increase on a monthly basis. The full report is available here: March 2020 Market Pulse Report for data from February 2020.

2032 Crosshair Circle, Orlando, FL 32837 — Listed For Sale

Amazing opportunity for this spacious Deerfield home near Hunter’s Creek! Home features soaring vaulted ceilings, upstairs loft, master suite on the first floor, formal living & dining, rear patio, fenced yard, 2 car garage & more! Neighborhood is ideally located within 20 minutes of Sea World & Aquatica, Gatorland, The Loop, Hunter’s Creek Golf Club, OIA & so much more! Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approximate & should be independently verified. Proof of funds/pre-approval letter required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan program. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. MLS information deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller requires a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. Seller will not entertain sight-unseen offers. Please factor repair estimates into the offer.* Employees or directors of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its direct and indirect subsidiaries are strictly prohibited from directly or indirectly purchasing any property owned or serviced by or on behalf of JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

  • Single-Family Home
  • Two Stories
  • 1864 Sqft.
  • Built 1990
  • 3 Bedrooms/2.5 Bathrooms
  • 0.12 Acres Lot
  • Features Vaulted Ceilings, Master Suite on 1st Floor, Upstairs Loft, Garden Bath, 2 Car Garage, Covered Patio & Fenced Yard
  • Mandatory HOA with a required assessment of $315 per year. Subject to change in 2020.
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $244,200
  • MLS ID: o5830049
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 30 photos & property details are available on JasonCraneOnline.com

1331 Weston Woods Blvd, Orlando, FL 32818 — Listed For Sale

Opportunity is knocking for this spacious suburban Orlando home! Foyer enters into great room with soaring vaulted ceilings, bonus room/office, & living room built-ins. One story home with split floor plan, inside utility room, & ceiling fans. Kitchen has some appliances included & granite counter tops. Exterior features mature landscaping, wooden fenced yard, screened/covered patio & 2 car garage. Blossoming lime tree in the rear. Homes in the area display high pride of ownership. Neighborhood is located just minutes from W Colonial Dr, West Oaks Mall, Barnett Park, movie theater, big box stores & plenty of dining options. Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approximate & should be independently verified. POF/pre-approval letter required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan prog. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. Info. deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller may require a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. If applicable, please factor repair estimates into the offer price.* There’s a short video walk-through available.

  • 3 Bedrooms/2 Bathrooms
  • 1875 sqft.
  • Built 1992
  • 0.24 Acres lot
  • Features Split Floor Plan, Vaulted Ceilings, selected Kitchen Appliances, Ceiling Fans, Central A/C, Screened/Covered Patio & 2 Car Garage
  • No active HOA since 2003
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $229,000
  • MLS ID: o5817819
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 30 photos & property details are available on JasonCraneOnline.com

10561 Down Lakeview Cir, Windermere, FL 34786 — Just Listed For Sale

RARE opportunity for 2+ acres of lake-front fixer-upper home on Lake Down w/ unobstructed lake frontage & spectacular views! Home features over 6000 sqft. of living space incl. an exercise studio, movie theater, library, upstairs porch & in-ground pool! Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approx. & should be independently verified. POF/pre-approval letter required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan prog. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. MLS info. deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller requires a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. *Per our seller, please ensure all potential buyers view the interior of the property prior to submitting offers. Agents must always accompany buyers during showings. Please factor repair estimates into the offer.* Employees or directors of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its direct & indirect subsidiaries are strictly prohibited from directly or indirectly purchasing any property owned or serviced by or on behalf of JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its direct and indirect subsidiaries. House has expired permits & seller is advising our office to disclose to interested parties. See MLS attachments. Our office has posted aerial photos & a very thorough walk-through video/virtual tour to MLS.

  • Mandatory HOA with assessments required $850/Year
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $1,377,500
  • MLS ID: o5804744
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 45 photos & property details are available on JasonCraneOnline.com

151 E Washington St #523, Orlando, FL 32801 — Listed For Sale

Amazing opportunity for this Lake Eola frontage mid-rise condo with views of Lake Eola & Lake Eola Park from the bedroom & living room! Lake Eola views for under $250,000!!! 5th floor condo recently renovated with all new paint, porcelain tile flooring, stainless steel kitchen appliances, & window treatments. Condo shows magnificently! Interior features thick double pane windows, washer/dryer, partial granite counter top in kitchen, double sink in kitchen, dual A/C climate control, & all stainless kitchen appliances — microwave, refrigerator, dishwasher & flat-top oven/range. Building is located in the heart of downtown only blocks from Walt Disney Amphitheater, Wall Street Plaza, Orange Ave, Church Street, Thornton Park, Dr. Phillips Center, Amway Center, Sunrail station & so much more! You are walking distance to over 50 bars, restaurants & nightlife! Community features fitness center, pool, outdoor grill, gated entrances, 3 elevators, 24-hour security, 2 parking garages & recreational facilities. Community is currently undergoing a major renovation w/ new lobby & new corridors. There is 1 deeded, assigned parking space in the North garage, #156. Both A/C handlers were inspected & serviced in June. Kitchen/bathroom are partially staged & accessories don’t convey. Appliances & window treatments are incl. w/ sale. Please note, there is NO balcony at this unit & the windows do not open. There’s a concise Virtual Tour available. This is the most affordable condo you will find in downtown Orlando!

  • Condo
  • 1 Bedroom/1 Bathroom
  • 645 sqft.
  • Build 1963
  • 1 Parking Space Reserved in on-site parking garage
  • Features Porcelain Tile Flooring, Stainless Steel Appliances, Washer/Dryer, Window Treatments, Double Pane Windows & Dual A/C Climate Control
  • Mandatory HOA with Monthly Assessments of $349
  • Community Amenities include Community Pool, Outdoor Bar & Grill, Recreational Facilities, 3 Elevators, Garage Parking, Gated Entrances, Building Security & On-site Property Manager
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Just Listed for only $139,900
  • MLS ID: o5795566
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 40 photos & property details are available on www.JasonCraneOnline.com

13615 Sunshowers Cir, Orlando, FL 32828 — Listed For Sale

Very spacious & contemporary Waterford Lakes home with in-ground pool, screened enclosure, fenced yard & more! Interior features window treatments, kitchen appliances, ceiling fans & utility room. Open layout with master suite on the first floor. Property is located only minutes from Waterford Lakes Town Center, University of Central Florida, Valencia CC East, Eastwood Golf Club, 3 recreational parks & much more! Only 20 min. to downtown Orlando along SR-408. Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approximate & should be independently verified. Proof of funds/pre-approval letter required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan program. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. MLS information deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller requires a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. *Per our seller, please ensure all potential buyers view the interior of the property prior to submitting offers. Agents must always accompany buyers during showings. Seller will not entertain sight-unseen offers. Please factor repair estimates into the offer.* Aerial photography & a 4-min. video walk-through/virtual tour are available upon request. Waterford Lakes is one of the premiere locations in Orlando, so don’t miss this opportunity!

  • Single Family Home
  • 4 Bedrooms/2 Bathroom
  • 2,198 sqft.
  • 3 Car Garage
  • Built 1998
  • Features Upstairs Loft, Inside Utility, Kitchen Appliances, Ceiling Fans, & Window Treatments
  • In-ground Pool, Fenced Yard, & Screened Pool Enclosure
  • 1/8 Acres Lot
  • Carpet & Ceramic Tile Flooring
  • Mandatory HOA with periodic assessments required $163/Quarter
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $312,000
  • MLS ID: o5796586
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 30 photos & property details are available on www.JasonCraneOnline.com

3725 Conroy Road, Unit 2114, Orlando, FL 32839 — Listed For Sale

Well maintained 1st floor condo at the stunning Mosaic at Millenia community. Interior features kitchen appliances, utility room, double sinks, walk-in-closets, carpet & tile flooring, split floor plan & plenty of natural lighting. Condo shows well! Mosaic is a gated community with pool, clubhouse, fitness center & security personnel. Unbeatable location w/in walking distance to Mall at Millenia! Only 15 min. from Universal Orlando. Quick access to I-4 ramps, International Drive attractions & downtown Orlando. Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approx. & should be independently verified. POF/pre-approval required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan prog. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. MLS info. deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller requires a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. Per our seller, please ensure all potential buyers view the interior of the property prior to submitting offers. Seller will not entertain sight-unseen offers. Please factor repair estimates into the offer. Employees or directors of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its direct and indirect subsidiaries are strictly prohibited from directly or indirectly purchasing any property owned or serviced by or on behalf of JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its direct & indirect subsidiaries. There’s a Virtual Tour available upon request.

  • 2 Bedrooms/2 Bathrooms
  • 1036 Square Feet
  • Built 2003
  • Mandatory HOA with monthly assessments of $305/mo.
  • Gated community with community amenities including Community Pool, Clubhouse, Fitness Center & Security Staff
  • Features Kitchen Appliances, Walk-in Closets, Inside Utility, Double Sinks, Bathroom upgrades, Split Floor Plan & More!
  • Carpet & Ceramic Tile Flooring
  • Zero Lot Line
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $114,000
  • MLS ID: o5794684
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 40 photos & property details are available on www.JasonCraneOnline.com

10026 Chesham Dr, Orlando, FL 32817 — Listed For Sale

Amazing opportunity for this Dean’s Landing home located less than 10 minutes from University of Central Florida. Home located in an established neighborhood with quiet side streets, mature landscaping & sidewalks. Fenced yard with spacious screened patio. Nice sized interior with soaring vaulted ceilings, ceiling fans, vast kitchen, open layout & split floor plan. Home is located within minutes of Spectrum Stadium, Full Sail University, Winter Park Pines Golf Club, & an abundance of dining, shopping, banking & so much more! Quick access to 417, Hwy 50, 408, University Blvd, & Aloma Ave. Sold as-is, where-is. No Seller’s disclosures. Seller is making no warranties or representations of property condition. Room dimensions are approximate & should be independently verified. Proof of funds/pre-approval letter required with all offers. Buying party is responsible for verifying whether or not property condition will qualify for buyer’s specific loan prog. HOA dues are subject to change & special assessments & must be verified by buyer. MLS info. deemed reliable, but not guaranteed. Parties are advised to verify. The seller requires a 10 DOM holding period prior to entertaining any offers. *Per our seller, please ensure all potential buyers view the interior of the property prior to submitting offers. Agents must always accompany buyers during showings. Seller will not entertain sight-unseen offers. Please factor repair estimates into the offer.* There is a 3-minute virtual tour/video walk-through available.

  • Single Family Home
  • 1510 Sqft.
  • Built 1987
  • 3 Bedrooms/2 Bathrooms
  • 2 Car Garage
  • Fenced Yard
  • Screened/Covered Patio
  • Vaulted Ceilings
  • Kitchen Appliances included
  • Split Floor Plan
  • Ceiling Fans
  • 1/8 Acre
  • Mandatory HOA with Quarterly Assessments
  • Broker’s Protected 3% Commission minus $150 (Seller does not pay commissions on concessions or seller paid buyer’s closing costs)
  • Buyer’s Agent is charged a mandatory $150 Technology Platform Fee deducted from Commission
  • Just Listed for only $228,800
  • MLS ID: o5780305
  • Bank-owned/REO Status & Subject to Special Bank Addendum
  • Listing Courtesy of Jason Crane Real Estate, LLC
  • Video walk-through/Virtual Tour available
  • More information, about 20-30 photos & property details are available on JasonCraneOnline.com